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Crown Green Handicap

Kevin Exell

Top 10%
Team: PensbyDivision: League 1Last updated: 9/29/2026

Rating

1133

Current Handicap

3
Honours
Season:

59

Matches Played

45

Wins

14

Losses

76%

Win Rate

11.1

Avg Win Margin

6.1

Avg Loss Margin

22-6

Home Record

23-8

Away Record

Milestones

Career

75% Club

76%

Hot Streak 15

17 in a row

Next goal: 50 Wins45/50

Season Highlights

2024

90% Season

95%

10-Game Streak

17 in a row

Home Dominance

10/10 home

Handicap Trend

All Time · 59 matches

+3 Rising
17 May5 Jul23 Aug27 Jun11 Aug15 May26 Jun21 Aug-13713
Started0
Lowest0
Current3
Win Percentage(40%)
76%
score+0.53→contribution+0.21
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
11.1
score+0.52→contribution+0.13
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
6.1
score+0.32→contribution+0.05
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
55%
score+0.10→contribution+0.01
Opponent Strength(10%)
879
score+0.40→contribution+0.04
Weighted Score+0.439
Sample Size Confidence
62%(59/75 matches)
Rating1220 → shrunk 1136
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)1220
Recency Blend40% (59 recent matches)
Final Blended Rating1170
Handicap3

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by a confidence factor (matches ÷ 75), so players with few games don't get extreme handicaps. Recency blend: the shrunk all-time rating is blended with a separate rating from the seasons selected in Handicap Calculation Years (currently 2024, 2025, 2026), weighted up to 40% based on recent match volume (30+ matches = full 40%). Players with no recent matches keep their all-time rating unchanged. Rating is mapped to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger).

League

45W14L59 matches·76.3% win rate
-24 since first recorded
25 Aug29 Aug1050106510801096
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby2024–2026League 1, League 2, League 359451476.3%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/21/2026Danny MorrisH21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 1
8/17/2026Danny MorrisA21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 1
8/14/2026Ian LedgerH21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 1
8/7/2026Vicky MoseleyA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 1
7/24/2026Wayne RobertsA19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 1
7/17/2026Paul BainbridgeH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 1
7/10/2026Paul BainbridgeA21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 1
7/3/2026Andy OpenshawH12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 1
6/26/2026Chris BartonA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 1
6/22/2026Fergal WrightH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 1
6/12/2026Iain HutchinsonA21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 1
6/8/2026Nick ThorntonH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 1
6/5/2026Wayne McdermottA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 1
5/29/2026Tom HowardA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 1
5/22/2026Colin PortisH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 1
5/18/2026Matthew Case-UptonH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 1
5/15/2026Peter McGregorA21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 1
5/8/2026Craig SavilleA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 1
4/27/2026Craig SavilleH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 1
4/24/2026Kevin NugentA21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 1
4/20/2026Alec BaileyH21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 1
8/22/2025Jeff LawleyA21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 2
8/18/2025Neal SleemanH21-5WIN+16LeagueLeague 2
8/15/2025Kevin TurnerA21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 2
8/11/2025Adrian CairnsH21-5WIN+16LeagueLeague 2
8/4/2025Peter McgregorA21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 2
7/25/2025Ian WilsonH21-4WIN+17LeagueLeague 2
7/21/2025Jake McelnayA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 2
7/18/2025Mike BoydH21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 2
7/11/2025Albert FordA21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 2
7/4/2025Connor BoydA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 2
6/30/2025Ken WilliamsA21-4WIN+17LeagueLeague 2
6/27/2025Tommy JamesH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 2
6/9/2025Mervyn PryceA21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 2
6/6/2025Eddie RimmerH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 2
5/30/2025John HudsonA21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 2
5/16/2025Luke RoweA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 2
5/9/2025John CliffeH21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 2
5/2/2025Tony RatcliffeA15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 2
4/25/2025Tony ThelwellH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 2
8/23/2024Eddie CarvellH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
8/12/2024Zoe StrattonA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
8/5/2024Phil GordonH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 3
8/2/2024Peter JonesA21-4WIN+17LeagueLeague 3
7/26/2024Peter FavagerH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
7/19/2024Ian RoweA21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
7/15/2024Shaun LuckieH21-2WIN+19LeagueLeague 3
7/12/2024Tony MalcolmH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
7/5/2024Trevor SmithA21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
6/28/2024Eddie ThomasH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
6/24/2024Ronald WhyteA21-3WIN+18LeagueLeague 3
6/7/2024Roy BiggsA21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
6/3/2024Nigel WardH21-4WIN+17LeagueLeague 3
5/31/2024Gary CullenA21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
5/24/2024Andy OpenshawH21-5WIN+16LeagueLeague 3
5/17/2024Mary FishwickA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
5/3/2024Kevin TurnerH21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
4/26/2024Kevin OwensA21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
4/22/2024Paul FouldsH21-3WIN+18LeagueLeague 3
Federation National League2026· Birkenhead (8)2W · 2L · 50%
DateOpponentTeamH/AScoreResult
09/08/2026Ian ArmstrongEast Lancs BA21-20WIN
12/07/2026Martin NelsonLeylandA21-11WIN
14/06/2026Phillip EllisWarringtonH20-21LOSS
10/05/2026Paul GarwoodCheshire Parks BA15-21LOSS
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl6 games · 5W
20262 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundBrian LusseyThingwall B21-7WINWON
Round of 16 RoundMick AndrewsGladstone21-19WINLOST
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundSteven GardnerLever Club21-20WINLOST
20243 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundDanny MorrisTixall21-10WINWON
Round of 32 RoundVic WilliamsNew Brighton Quarry Vikings B21-20WINWON
Quarters Round* Josh BuntingNew Brighton Quarry Vikings11-21LOSSLOST
Cartwright Cup2 games · 1W
20252 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundJack WilliamsNaval Club9-21LOSSWON
Semi Final RoundPhilip CurrieBebington Park21-11WINLOST

Current Streak

4wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

17

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 580% win rate
WWWWL
Last 1060% win rate↑ improving
WWWWLLWLLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Danny Morris202100%8/21/2026
Paul Bainbridge11250%7/17/2026
Andy Openshaw11250%7/3/2026
Craig Saville0220%5/8/2026
Kevin Turner202100%8/15/2025
Ian Ledger101100%8/14/2026
Vicky Moseley101100%8/7/2026
Wayne Roberts0110%7/24/2026
Chris Barton0110%6/26/2026
Fergal Wright101100%6/22/2026
Biggest Win
Shaun Luckie (+19)7/15/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Chris Barton (-11)6/26/2026
Best Season
202495% · 19 matches
Worst Season
202657% · 21 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
83% → 70%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
87758 known · 1 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
6-555% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
38-981% win rate

By Division

League 112-9 (57%)
League 215-4 (79%)
League 318-1 (95%)
League 157.1%
12W·9L·21 played
League 278.9%
15W·4L·19 played
League 394.7%
18W·1L·19 played

Debut

Apr 22, 2024

Latest

Aug 21, 2026

Seasons Active

3 (2.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

19.7 (59 total)

Seasons

202420252026